000 02013nam a2200421 a 4500
001 0000126153
005 20171002060744.0
006 m u
007 cr cn|||||||||
008 091015s2010 nyua sb 001 0 eng
010 _z 2009041215
015 _aGBA9A1648
_2bnb
016 7 _z015396975
_2Uk
020 _z9780231150484 (cloth : alk. paper)
020 _z0231150482 (cloth : alk. paper)
020 _z9780231521673 (ebook)
020 _z0231521677 (ebook)
035 _a(CaPaEBR)ebr10419632
035 _a(OCoLC)674689555
040 _aCaPaEBR
_cCaPaEBR
050 1 4 _aHG4529
_b.P67 2010eb
082 0 4 _a332.63/2042
_222
100 1 _aPosner, Kenneth A.
245 1 0 _aStalking the black swan
_h[electronic resource] :
_bresearch and decision making in a world of extreme volatility /
_cKenneth A. Posner.
260 _aNew York :
_bColumbia Business School Publishing,
_cc2010.
300 _axv, 267 p. :
_bill.
504 _aIncludes bibliographical references and index.
505 0 _aForecasting in extreme environments -- Thinking in probabilities -- The balance between overconfidence and underconfidence, and the special risk of complex modeling -- Fighting information overload with strategy -- Making decisions in real time: how to react to new information without falling victim to cognitive dissonance -- Mitigating information asymmetry -- Mapping from simple ideas to complex analysis -- The power and pitfalls of Monte Carlo modeling -- Judgment.
533 _aElectronic reproduction.
_bPalo Alto, Calif. :
_cebrary,
_d2013.
_nAvailable via World Wide Web.
_nAccess may be limited to ebrary affiliated libraries.
650 0 _aInvestment analysis.
650 0 _aInvestments
_xForecasting.
650 0 _aBusiness cycles.
650 0 _aRecessions.
655 7 _aElectronic books.
_2local
710 2 _aebrary, Inc.
856 4 0 _uhttp://site.ebrary.com/lib/daystar/Doc?id=10419632
_zAn electronic book accessible through the World Wide Web; click to view
908 _a170314
942 0 0 _cEB
999 _c115302
_d115302