000 | 02013nam a2200421 a 4500 | ||
---|---|---|---|
001 | 0000126153 | ||
005 | 20171002060744.0 | ||
006 | m u | ||
007 | cr cn||||||||| | ||
008 | 091015s2010 nyua sb 001 0 eng | ||
010 | _z 2009041215 | ||
015 |
_aGBA9A1648 _2bnb |
||
016 | 7 |
_z015396975 _2Uk |
|
020 | _z9780231150484 (cloth : alk. paper) | ||
020 | _z0231150482 (cloth : alk. paper) | ||
020 | _z9780231521673 (ebook) | ||
020 | _z0231521677 (ebook) | ||
035 | _a(CaPaEBR)ebr10419632 | ||
035 | _a(OCoLC)674689555 | ||
040 |
_aCaPaEBR _cCaPaEBR |
||
050 | 1 | 4 |
_aHG4529 _b.P67 2010eb |
082 | 0 | 4 |
_a332.63/2042 _222 |
100 | 1 | _aPosner, Kenneth A. | |
245 | 1 | 0 |
_aStalking the black swan _h[electronic resource] : _bresearch and decision making in a world of extreme volatility / _cKenneth A. Posner. |
260 |
_aNew York : _bColumbia Business School Publishing, _cc2010. |
||
300 |
_axv, 267 p. : _bill. |
||
504 | _aIncludes bibliographical references and index. | ||
505 | 0 | _aForecasting in extreme environments -- Thinking in probabilities -- The balance between overconfidence and underconfidence, and the special risk of complex modeling -- Fighting information overload with strategy -- Making decisions in real time: how to react to new information without falling victim to cognitive dissonance -- Mitigating information asymmetry -- Mapping from simple ideas to complex analysis -- The power and pitfalls of Monte Carlo modeling -- Judgment. | |
533 |
_aElectronic reproduction. _bPalo Alto, Calif. : _cebrary, _d2013. _nAvailable via World Wide Web. _nAccess may be limited to ebrary affiliated libraries. |
||
650 | 0 | _aInvestment analysis. | |
650 | 0 |
_aInvestments _xForecasting. |
|
650 | 0 | _aBusiness cycles. | |
650 | 0 | _aRecessions. | |
655 | 7 |
_aElectronic books. _2local |
|
710 | 2 | _aebrary, Inc. | |
856 | 4 | 0 |
_uhttp://site.ebrary.com/lib/daystar/Doc?id=10419632 _zAn electronic book accessible through the World Wide Web; click to view |
908 | _a170314 | ||
942 | 0 | 0 | _cEB |
999 |
_c115302 _d115302 |